WINNERS AND LOSERS IN THE GULF WAR
(SUMMARY)

In this paper, I shall study the problem of winners and losers in the

Gulf War

in four parts: 1-The Balance of Powers in the Middle East and their

Resources

1-prior to the war;

2-Coalition Formation and the Execution of the War;

3-Immediate and Developing Problems after the War;

4-Projected Longer Term Outcomes of the War.

Initially I shall look into the ambiguous relationships of Iraq, Iran

and other M.E. players with the United States and the former colonial powers

since World War II. From this baseline, I shall attempt to clarify the

coalitions and the devastation of the War. In the third phase, I wish to

throw some light on the problems Iraq now faces, and the problems the entire

region must deal with as a result of the sanctions against Iraq. Finally I

shall make some observations about what might happen in the region as other

Great Power players assume important roles in the region.